Excerpt from
Preface
For forty years spanning five decades,
as the world’s first communications economist, [Dr. Levin] researched,
published, and proposed innovative economic and regulatory solutions
that anticipated -- and later addressed -- the problems of competing
rights and access to the airwaves, or electromagnetic spectrum. His
research and proposals anticipated the evolution of television, space
satellites, cellular telephones, electronic remote devices, and wireless
Internet -- all quite "far-fetched" when he began his work in
the 1940s and '50s. As his space economist protégé
Molly Macauley indicated, the competing demands on the increasingly
congested electromagnetic field –
whose uses range from "radio, television, and everyday
telecommunications to wildlife tracking, astronomy, garage door openers,
and national defense" – proved his predictions and concerns
correct.
According to members of his field, he was several
decades ahead of his time in addressing the economic ramifications of
the radio spectrum, long before others were concerned with the airwaves
as a resource. He was often met with skepticism and dismissal by
government and industry officials. In the face of government and industry laissez
faire, he remained the true believer. His proposals were
vindicated four years after his death with the passage of the U.S.
Telecommunications Act
– a "promised land" he'd seen but didn't live to
experience. The U.S. Federal Communications Commission and Congress also
finally implemented his long controversial proposals by auctioning off
broadcast frequencies internationally, and recommending a voucher
program for allocating the use of outer space for transportation and
satellites.
But who was
the person behind these polices? To understand that, one must
understand his life, where the seeds and groundwork for such policies
were laid and nurtured. This
book attempts to answer that question.
Focusing on its political ramifications,
[his] work was the first to illustrate the economic necessity and
benefits of equitable, global allocation of the airwaves as a limited –
or "invisible" – resource, and diversification of its
ownership. He continued to penetrate the frontiers of
communications economics even after it evolved into the highly pertinent
field it is today – an evolution due, in large part, to his own
contributions. In short, as his friend and colleague Harold Wattel put
it, he espoused "open communication for the weak as well as the
strong," and "his books will long be sought in the libraries
throughout the world…" Such achievements impelled [his] election
to membership in the Cosmos Club of Washington, D.C., an association of
persons deemed to "have done meritorious original work in science,
literature, or the arts, or… recognized as distinguished in a learned
profession or in public service." They also earned him an
invitation to place his papers in the Archive of Contemporary History,
devoted to "the history and development of individuals who have
played a prominent role in the twentieth century’s social, political,
legal and economic scene."
Although, in the tradition of scholarly
credibility, [he] was a stickler for scientific evidence and economic
viability, he also viewed economics as an art. He saw it as a vehicle
for facilitating social progress in creative ways, particularly the
rights, opportunities, facilities and technologies of the
underprivileged in America as well as in emerging third world countries.
Most notably, he proposed a system in which latecomer users and
emerging, underdeveloped countries would not be deprived of their use of
the airwaves by the world powers or monopolies controlling the market…
…the challenges of his childhood and
early adulthood, as a visionary outcast ahead of his time, foreshadowed
his uphill triumphs later in life, particularly his posthumous
vindication in telecommunications, which allowed the field of
communications economics to grow from [Dr. Levin] as the sole economist to
numerous economists and scholars throughout the world.
In pioneering the economics of the
airwaves and space satellites, [he] was often met with disbelief that
the airwaves were a resource at all – which prompted his creation of
the now widely-used phrase "The Invisible Resource". Despite
such resistance, he published extensively and his career thrived – even
with a heart condition, the personal hardship of being twice widowed
prematurely, and raising a son as a single parent… Excerpt from
Chapter Ten: Honolulu, Stanford University and
the world
(Harvesting the Invisible Resource),
1980-1992
…[Dr. Levin] testified
[extemporaneously] at a National Research Council/National Academy of
Sciences forum on June 15, 1987, in favor of auctioning or renting orbit
spectrum assignments to emerging "latecomer" nations seeking
satellite usage…
…I am now working with the Space
WARC [World Administrative Radio Conferences] Advisory Committee to the FCC, and have been doing this for a
few years. And we’re very much aware of latecomers and
first-comers – those are "naughty words" we haven’t
heard much here – and these can be companies as well as countries.
And I know of the land mobile thing, which has a lot of interesting
analogies into space technology development problems – we did have
latecomers and first-comers. And being a latecomer bears its burden
– if you like – in cost, even though you may get more experience,
or you as a latecomer can take advantage of the fact that someone
did learn, and you get some of that. But all of that can be netted
out. You can get a feeling for what it really means to be a
latecomer. And if you then look at, let’s say, the NASA budget –
or NASA program planning – in that context, it seems to me that
you have an interesting and a fruitful and a potentially public
service kind of spillover that ought to be examined. And I think
that professionals – certainly in my own profession of economists
– can do systematic work on that. But they can’t do it in a
vacuum. They have to be brought in. They have to be able to get to a
new "Bureau of the Census" type of NASA data, if you like
– places where you don’t essentially have to seek your data
through the good will. You don’t want the good will of a
government organ or an industry organ in order to get your data,
because some of those data are the result of evaluations that
everyone might not be happy about. So that’s just a passing
thought.
In particularly, as I saw Walter
Morgan’s interesting material – and it occurred to me the
questions he didn’t ask – he had an awful lot of stuff that
presumably could be thrust away, that you could say, what does it
mean to go from C to KA to KU? He had a lot of dates in there –
he had a lot of technologies and development. I didn’t get the
feeling, however, of what it meant to come in today, as opposed to
if you’d gone in ten or twenty years ago – what differences
would that have made? How would that bear on what we are facing,
in terms of our U.S. position visa vi the space WARC, and the
position we can take visa vi latecomer nations, where there’s
supposed to be burden-sharing. If you’re a latecomer, you’re
not supposed to pick it all up by yourself – that’s the
argument. We’re wrestling with that. And it seems to be, there
must be a tale that can be told in a very exciting way out of what
the NASA experience with KA was, in terms of why they chose to do
it, what they had to do it in order to do it, what kind of
opposition they faced, and why – that kind of thing.
Alright, let me go on just for a
moment here to John Ledger’s very interesting paper. And he gave
us all a nice economics lesson. I was glad to be there in the
first or second row getting the economics lesson at the same time.
And I would just say, there was a gentleman – I’m not sure he’s
still here – who said he wanted to talk about auctions… The
FCC would like to talk about auctions, or at least randomize
distribution of grants in the way of lotteries. There’s even
talk now, there’s supposed to be new legislation in our country and
in Britain with regard to the fact that the orbit spectrum
assignments have value – it would be nice to be able to price
them. And, indeed, it’s even been said that it would be nice to
collect some of that and use it for infrastructure development in
places that we can’t new grants – if you like – for funding.
And I suppose they have third world countries in mind. There is
some legislation flowing around on both sides of the Atlantic, let’s
say. I would only say this. John’s paper was very beautifully
done. He may not want to follow all the doors he opened. That’s
understandable. Nevertheless, he did open them, and he can’t say
he didn’t. Okay.
[Group laughter]
Now, in any case… I would say
that John did focus our attention on the common pool problem,
which he very nicely illustrated, and the phenomena of market
failure – and he illustrated that too. And I just couldn’t
help but feel that John, of all people, knows that there are
mechanisms that are built to do this. Now they may be
hypothetical, theoretic mechanisms, but they’re mechanisms,
and they’re called pricing mechanisms. And if you had a pricing
mechanism – and this is what the non-economist – oh, what’s
it going to do to me? Alright, if you had the pricing mechanism
operating you would then have a kind of verdict appear without
having to come in with a governmental blunderbuss. I mean, that’s
what economists like to feel – it would work out better. But how
will we get this pricing mechanism to work? I mean, it’s just
impossible. On the Space WARC Advisory Committee, I have many
opportunities to be bruised. And I’m pleased to be
bruised. I don’t mind that at all. And sometimes in the bruising
process, I hear a couple of nice things such as, "Well, if
you kept doing this for another thirty years, you might get
through." And my answer is, you know, I don’t have a
particular time horizon which says it must be done by the next
Space WARC. Indeed, I’m rather optimistic. I’ve seen a lot of
developments since 1979 Space WARC. And so I think we’re moving,
though we might be moving in a very slow way.
The only thing is, I would like to
leave on the table – and particularly for John and my other
colleagues to ponder a bit – and that is that we have some
interesting evidence that there is indeed a market out there, and
it is already operating, even without the kind of fully
transferable right mechanisms that University of Chicago would
tell us we really ought to move towards and have, and that we
ought to configure these rights, and all of that. I would say,
today in its crudest form we have a mechanism in the international
field. And I would like to give you – and I would love to hear
from you as to what you think of some of these examples and
episodes, which I’m starting to analyze and work on a bit. And I’ve
got four of them that strike me, and I had a chance in New Orleans
– for some of us sat around at something – a panel called
"Emergent Markets for Common Property Resources" – an
economist would go up in flames: now how can you have a market for
common property resources? And the answer was a very simple one.
Given the common property syndrome, you can’t have a market, so
what do you do? So you have an administrative implement. And that
sounds like you’re throwing the market out the window. But you’re
not. Because you can then have markets for the administrative
implements. Oh boy, that’s it – you know – the economist
always has an answer. We have – markets for airport
landing rights, and we have markets for fishery licenses that are
traded, okay? And we have an emission trading program of the EPA.
And I would propose, in a quiet way, that we can have them for
orbit spectrum assignments too. Okay? And I would say, we are
already having some crude examples – some crude evidence – that
there is a trading of orbit spectrum assignments. I’ll just give
you – you know, this is maybe just a terrible
oversimplification, but I can’t see it any other way. There was
something Annex C that we all know about – Telesat Canada –
and they had some unused capacity, and RCA and GT & E were a
little on the short side – I don’t know if that was when they’d
lost one of theirs, or whatever it was – they were looking
around, and they would like to buy it. And they finally struck a
price! Yes! They struck a price with the unused capacity of
Annex C. And you say, oh, well, that was for Annex C transponder.
And I say, well, wait a minute now. What is an Annex C
transponder worth on the ground in a second hand market, and what
is it worth in place with an orbit spectrum assignment operating?
And I say, that’s the first approach to get the value of the
implicit use of the orbit spectrum that Canada had, which they
were renting out for two million dollars a year for transponder to
RCA – and at another time, I believe, GT & E. So that’s
one proposition which I’d be glad to have you comment on, or
write to me, or whatever. I have these comments in writing, if you
like.
There’s another interesting one
called "PAC Star". We have a U.S. corporation, TRT, that
has a subsidiary Pacific Satellite. They wanted to create a system
in the south Pacific, and they needed an assignment to do it. Now,
they could have waited in line at FCC and the ITU. But they
thought, well, once they got this thing on the drawing board, you
know, it was going to take some time, and there could be island
nation opposition. So let them go to a third world country and get
it to request the orbit spectrum assignment, which Papa New
Guinea (PNG) – its PTT – was glad to do. And they did it. And,
indeed, the PCI brought the capital of the know-how into the
picture. And PCI paid Papa New Guinea one free transponder. I don’t
know whether it was in perpetuity. Certainly until the equipment
wears out. But perhaps it was longer. And that had a certain
value. And they did that in order to get PNG to get the orbit
spectrum assignment from ITU. And that has – it’s in process.
I can’t get a straight word as to how far it’s gone.
Let me give you a third example:
Panamsat that we know about. They could not gain access to the
part of the orbit spectrum they wanted without a foreign
correspondent. Well, apparently potential foreign correspondents
were nervous, they were members of Intelsat and they didn’t want
to get on the bad side of Intelsat, and no one came forward. But
finally Peru came forward. There might have been some other
inducements to Peru – some side payments – I don’t know all
of the facts on that one. But finally Panamsat struck a bargain
with Peru. Peru was its foreign correspondent, and Panamsat could
gain access, and gain access to the orbit spectrum. And they paid
Peru one free transponder – or it was the right to buy a
transponder for a dollar, I think is the way it was put. And they
got it that way.
Alright, let me give you my fourth
example – and you can get all these in Satellite Communications,
FCC application office and whatever: SIGNUS. Panamsat and SIGNUS.
I don’t know where that one stands – you may know. They were on
the verge of a transaction. Okay? And what it is is this: SIGNUS
had a right to operate in KU. And when I tuned in on this a while
back, they had one more year to go in their right. But they had
nothing to operate with. They had no equipment up there. Whereas,
Panamsat had twenty-four C-band transponders, lower down and less
costly to operate, but no – and they did not have permission to
use their twelve KU-band transponders. So Panamsat had the KU-band
transponders – CIGNUS had the right. Alright? In other
words, Panamsat didn’t have right to use that. They had a hybrid
satellite, okay? They could only use the first set which were
essentially VCs. Okay? So I couldn’t help but feel intuitively
that a transaction of some sort between these two companies must
materialize – you know, it’s like in the works. It hasn’t
emerged yet. Maybe it has by now. But you can see it coming down
the pike when you hear the possibility that CIGNUS might acquire
Panamsat – or Panamsat acquire CIGNUS – or that they might both
create a joint venture to do this thing. What else is that but a
market-type transaction?
So – okay – these are the
little tales. Okay? I would just like to say that this strikes me
as being evidence that there already is a market process going on
– it’s crude. And if you let economists into this "cabbage
patch", it may be possible to systematize some of the results, and
to use them along with other results to try to put a few bullets
on that price – the orbit spectrum thing that we’re talking
about – which is, I think, where John leads us with his open
doors that he himself doesn’t want to go through. Thank you.
[Group laughter]
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